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Inside the New GDP Numbers
Friday, 30 Jul, 20102010-07-30T14:57:50Zl, j M, Y9:572010-07-30T14:57:50ZG:i | No Comment
Inside the New GDP Numbers

On July 30th the Bureau of Economic Analysis (‘BEA’) released its “advance” estimate of the annualized growth rate of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (‘GDP’) during the 2nd quarter of 2010. Per their …

Yen rises to 2010 high per dollar as July trading ends
Friday, 30 Jul, 20102010-07-30T13:46:59Zl, j M, Y8:462010-07-30T13:46:59ZG:i | No Comment
Yen rises to 2010 high per dollar as July trading ends

The end of July has traders on edge after a month of remarkable weakness for the dollar, while they cautiously await August PMI data due next week for the latest health check on …

Dollar on the ropes as German jobs reach near 2-year high
Thursday, 29 Jul, 20102010-07-29T13:55:45Zl, j M, Y8:552010-07-29T13:55:45ZG:i | No Comment
Dollar on the ropes as German jobs reach near 2-year high

The U.S. dollar index reached its lowest point in three months as differences in the pace of recovery between the U.S. and the Eurozone rise to the surface. The latest evidence shows growing …

Shifts in the gold price may provide a leading indicator of what happens next.
Thursday, 29 Jul, 20102010-07-29T12:07:21Zl, j M, Y7:072010-07-29T12:07:21ZG:i | No Comment
Shifts in the gold price may provide a leading indicator of what happens next.

Shifts in the gold price may provide a leading indicator of what happens next.
Headlines
Japan: As expected, retail sales rose 3.2% year-on-year in June after a 2.9% gain in May and a 4.9% increase …

RBNZ raises OCR to 3.00%, signals go-slow
Thursday, 29 Jul, 20102010-07-29T12:02:21Zl, j M, Y7:022010-07-29T12:02:21ZG:i | No Comment
RBNZ raises OCR to 3.00%, signals go-slow

The RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) increased the official cash rate at its July meeting 25bps to 3.00%, and signaled that further rate rises will likely be on the go-slow. It noted …

Euro ‘within reach’ of 11-week high versus dollar
Wednesday, 28 Jul, 20102010-07-28T20:08:20Zl, j M, Y15:082010-07-28T20:08:20ZG:i | No Comment
Euro ‘within reach’ of 11-week high versus dollar

The euro stayed within reach of an 11-week high versus the dollar today (July 28th), following solid economic data and bank earnings.
Reuters reports the currency remained close to the $1.3045 (83p) in Forex trading …

US Durable good orders fall in June
Wednesday, 28 Jul, 20102010-07-28T14:55:54Zl, j M, Y9:552010-07-28T14:55:54ZG:i | No Comment
US Durable good orders fall in June

US durable goods orders fell -1.0% m/m in June from a revised -0.8% m/m in May, on consensus expectations of +1.0%.  Durable goods ex-transportation fell -0.6% m/m in June from a revised +1.2% …

Seeping US consumer confidence detracts from risk
Wednesday, 28 Jul, 20102010-07-28T13:48:18Zl, j M, Y8:482010-07-28T13:48:18ZG:i | No Comment
Seeping US consumer confidence detracts from risk

A certain amount of regrouping appears to be underway as investors try to size-up the risks to the growing theme that world growth continues albeit modestly. That’s the glass half-full version of what …

British Pound continues to enjoy the summer months. Will autumn prove as kind?
Wednesday, 28 Jul, 20102010-07-28T12:35:09Zl, j M, Y7:352010-07-28T12:35:09ZG:i | No Comment
British Pound continues to enjoy the summer months. Will autumn prove as kind?

GBP continues to enjoy the summer months. Will autumn prove as kind?
Headlines
Australia: The core ‘trimmed mean’ CPI rose 0.5% q/q in Q2 to bring the annual rate of increase to 2.7% and hence below the …

The PBoC can’t easily raise interest rates
Wednesday, 28 Jul, 20102010-07-28T12:30:35Zl, j M, Y7:302010-07-28T12:30:35ZG:i | No Comment
The PBoC can’t easily raise interest rates

A lot of people have asked me to write about the recently “leaked” CBRC report on dodgy local government debt.  Here is what the article in Monday’s Bloomberg had to say about it (and note …

US Consumer Confidence Falls in July
Tuesday, 27 Jul, 20102010-07-27T15:06:14Zl, j M, Y10:062010-07-27T15:06:14ZG:i | No Comment
US Consumer Confidence Falls in July

The Conference Board’s index of US consumer confidence fell to 50.4 in July from a revised 54.3 in June, on consensus expectations of 51.0.  Upward historical revisions fully offset the headline disappointment, with June revised …

Risk appetite leaves the dollar behind
Tuesday, 27 Jul, 20102010-07-27T13:43:30Zl, j M, Y8:432010-07-27T13:43:30ZG:i | No Comment
Risk appetite leaves the dollar behind

A clean bill of health for European banks hitched to a caravan of love for U.S. corporate earnings has caused a seismic shift in risk appetite in turn boosting the value of higher yielding assets. …

FX Daily analysis and trading strategies 7-27-10
Tuesday, 27 Jul, 20102010-07-27T11:54:45Zl, j M, Y6:542010-07-27T11:54:45ZG:i | No Comment
FX Daily analysis and trading strategies 7-27-10

EURUSD
Trading strategy: small long at 1.2960, stop at 1.2880(0.5% risk), 1st objective at 1.3010, 2nd objective at 1.3100
Fresh upside targets are in focus as the euro climbed higher yesterday and managed to stabilize around the …

Dollar Sustains Further Losses as Dow Rallies
Monday, 26 Jul, 20102010-07-26T20:58:36Zl, j M, Y15:582010-07-26T20:58:36ZG:i | No Comment
Dollar Sustains Further Losses as Dow Rallies

The USD closed at session lows as global bourses rallied following the release of benign European bank stress test results and stronger than expected US housing data. In a late-July, Monday session characterized by a …

Rupee Gets a Symbol
Monday, 26 Jul, 20102010-07-26T19:14:11Zl, j M, Y14:142010-07-26T19:14:11ZG:i | No Comment
Rupee Gets a Symbol

India’s rupee is now in an exclusive club – it joins Japan, Britain, the European Union and the U.S. as the only currencies to have globally recognized symbols.
The new symbol, shown in the picture, came …

Stress relief
Monday, 26 Jul, 20102010-07-26T13:20:09Zl, j M, Y8:202010-07-26T13:20:09ZG:i | No Comment
Stress relief

With the weekend cushion behind the European banking stress test results the euro is treading water to start the new trading week. The response to the tests has been remarkably calm with reaction centered on …

Bernanke’s downbeat assessment disappears
Thursday, 22 Jul, 20102010-07-22T13:38:49Zl, j M, Y8:382010-07-22T13:38:49ZG:i | No Comment
Bernanke’s downbeat assessment disappears

There are two ways to take the words of the Fed Chairman. You can join the crowd of Chicken Littles running through the streets screaming that the sky really is about to fall. Or, you …

Beleaguered Dollar gets some support
Wednesday, 21 Jul, 20102010-07-21T21:27:44Zl, j M, Y16:272010-07-21T21:27:44ZG:i | No Comment
Beleaguered Dollar gets some support

The beleaguered US dollar derived some support in the immediate aftermath of Mr Bernanke’s testimony in the afternoon as hopes of any additional monetary stimulus were dashed and plans for an eventual exit strategy were …

Euro remains high against dollar
Wednesday, 21 Jul, 20102010-07-21T15:13:21Zl, j M, Y10:132010-07-21T15:13:21ZG:i | No Comment
Euro remains high against dollar

The euro has remained near to the dollar today (July 21st), after achieving close to a ten-week high.
Reuters reports the currency was supported in Forex trading by strong US corporate earnings that also boosted global …

Surge in Canadian payrolls drives loonie wild
Friday, 9 Jul, 20102010-07-09T14:20:29Zl, j M, Y9:202010-07-09T14:20:29ZG:i | No Comment
Surge in Canadian payrolls drives loonie wild

Earlier in the week investor fears about the prospects for a double-dip recession appear to be vanishing into thin air as the week draws to a close. The euro’s rejuvenation continues after the ECB President …